It’s no secret that Donald Trump keeps an eye on poll numbers, but CNN this week highlighted one number he might want to skip.
But it might also be to his advantage to consider the issue in the midterm elections, because it wouldn’t look pretty for the president. That’s because, just one month after Kamala Harris was attacked Betting market’s embarrassing low As for her 2028 presidency, she now beats Trump in a new NBC poll looking back at the 2024 election.
“Sadly…some people have some,” CNN data expert Harry Enten said the results were displayed on the screen in the segment.
According to Enten, Trump won the election by just over a point and a half in November 2024, but in April 2025, Harris led him by a full percentage point among respondents about the re-vote.
Now she leads by as much as eight points.
“Kamala Harris won in the redo, which basically asked people if the 2024 election could be redone, how would you vote?” explained Entian. “She won by eight points. That’s a huge shift from what we saw in November 2024, when Donald Trump won by one point, and I will point out that this sample is weighted against 2024 results where Donald Trump won by one point. However, in this weighted sample, Kamala Harris won by eight points among the sample of those who voted for Trump by one point.”
Enten then explained how this could portend a midterm election swing.
“This has a huge impact on voter sentiment about what might happen later in the year,” he said. “Why do I say that? Because let’s look at the vote in Congress, it’s very important. Harris voters in 2024, they voted Democratic by an average of 89 points. Trump voters voted Republican by 83 points.
“What that means is that the Democratic base who voted for Kamala Harris was more supportive of the Democratic candidate for Congress than Trump voters were for the Republican candidate,” he added. “That’s why what you’re seeing on the general congressional ballot right now is a Democratic lead of about five points, because Trump voters are not as supportive of Democrats as Harris voters are.”
When individuals who did not vote in 2024 were added, the polls got even worse.
“Well, that’s what people are coming from the sidelines too,” he said. If voters don’t vote in 2024, they will have their choice of date in the 2026 congressional elections. “Look at this. The Democrats won the vote by 16 points. So you add in the fact that Harris voters stuck with the Democratic candidate, and all of a sudden, you see, hey, this is how the Democrats regained a majority in Congress.”
Read the original article at pennlive.com.
