World Baseball Classic: USA stunned by Italy, must await its fate for knockout round

The USA Baseball team entered Tuesday’s World Baseball Classic against Italy knowing that a win would advance them to the knockout rounds.

Instead, Italy suffered an 8-6 defeat at the hands of the United States, who advanced to the group stage with a 3-0 win in Tuesday’s pool play and were forced to await their fate in the knockout rounds, which are now out of their hands.

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The loss moved the United States to 3-1 and Italy to 3-0. Italy will face Mexico 2-1 on Wednesday in a game that will decide who advances from Group B. Only two teams can advance.

If Italy wins and beats Mexico 2-2, Team USA will advance with a score of 3-1 and Italy, which is 4-0. If Mexico wins and all three teams finish 3-1, a multi-tier tiebreaker will be played. The U.S. didn’t do itself any favors in that tiebreaker after dropping eight points on Tuesday night.

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How tiebreakers work

Here’s how the tiebreaker works and the steps in order. If both sides remain tied after the top line, the tiebreaker will advance to the next game.

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  • Runs allowed per defensive out

  • Points allowed per defensive out

  • Highest batting average among teams in a tie

If Mexico wins on Tuesday, the three tied teams will each be tied at 2-1 and the tiebreaker will move to the second step. The final score of Wednesday’s game will affect the runs allowed in the next two levels of the tiebreaker.

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Team USA can rest easy knowing it could have been worse. In the first half of the sixth game, the Italian team led 8-0. This score made it difficult for the American team to enter the decider.

The U.S. added some big runs down the stretch, giving them a better chance against Mexico if they win on Wednesday. Of course, the United States did not want to be in this situation in the first place.

Italy takes control early

Neither team scored in the first game, but Italy set the tone of the game in the second game.

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Kyle Teel led off the second inning with a solo home run by American starter Nolan McLean, a 24-year-old rookie from the New York Mets.

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