Introduction
-
Northeastern winds are expected to bring snow to parts of coastal New Jersey and southern New England this weekend.
-
Based on current forecasts, New York City and much of the I-95 corridor may not see accumulation.
-
Regardless of snowfall totals, strong winds and freezing temperatures will affect the area.
New York – A nor’easter developing off the East Coast could bring snow to parts of New Jersey and Connecticut this weekend, but forecasters said New York City may remain on the storm’s western edge, limiting snowfall unless the storm system moves closer to the coast.
what we know
The storm is expected to move offshore, keeping a core of heavy snow east of major cities along the I-95 corridor, according to the Fox Forecast Center.
Current forecast guidance shows the highest snowfall totals along the coast, while inland areas including New York City remain close to a sharp cutoff zone where small changes in the storm’s track could significantly impact impacts.
Find the latest New York winter weather forecast here
Where it’s most likely to snow this weekend in the New York tri-state area
The highest risk for accumulating snow is along the coast of New Jersey, including coastal communities, and may also occur along the coast and in parts of eastern Connecticut.
In these areas, snow and gusty winds could cause hazardous travel conditions, especially late Saturday into early Sunday.
Where impact may be limited
According to current forecasts, New York City, northeastern New Jersey, and parts of inland Connecticut are expected to receive less snow, with very little snow accumulation, possibly as little as an inch or two.
Forecasters warned that the area was close to the storm’s cutoff zone, meaning moving as little as 50 miles east or west could quickly change snowfall totals.
STAY CONNECTED WITH FOX LOCAL. For 24/7 winter storm coverage—Download now.
Wind and cold a concern in New York City
Even if most of New York City stays clear of snow, strong winds and extremely cold air will affect the entire region this weekend. Gusty winds could cause snow along coastal areas, adding to already frigid temperatures.
Wind chills are expected to drop into the single digits and teens, increasing the risk of ice forming on untreated roads and sidewalks.
New York City Emergency Management issued the weather warning for Sunday in coordination with the National Weather Service.
“New Yorkers should take this cold weather seriously,” said New York City Mayor Zohran Kwame Mamdani. “With dangerously low temperatures and icy conditions, even short trips can be dangerous. Stay indoors, stay warm, and limit your time outside if you can. If you need to travel, use public transportation and give yourself extra time.”
In this case, the coastal low will move away from the East Coast and eastward into the Atlantic Ocean, producing the heaviest snowfall offshore. The result will result in a brief burst of snow along the coast, with minimal impact inland.
Timing: What to Expect
Saturday: Clouds are increasing and it will be cold and breezy as offshore storms intensify.
Saturday night to Sunday: The snow will mainly intensify east of New York City, where winds will be strongest and wind chills will be the coldest.
Sunday: The snow tapers off as the storm moves farther offshore, but cold and gusty winds remain.
Related: What are Tohoku and Bomb Cyclones? How East Coast winter storms form
Why you should care
Even if New York City avoids heavy snowfall, nearby coastal areas may experience dangerous winter conditions, with strong winds and extreme cold posing safety risks throughout the region.
Forecasters urge residents to stay informed of changes in the storm’s track.
what’s next
Meteorologists will continue to refine the forecast through Saturday. Any movement closer to the coast could bring heavier snowfall to the New York City area, while an easterly track would keep the worst impacts limited to the coast.
source
This article was written using information from the Fox Forecast Center and Fox Weather Reports.