Elon Musk warns the U.S. could soon be producing more chips than we can turn on. And China doesn’t have the same issue

Elon Musk warns that the biggest problem hindering the development of artificial intelligence in the United States is a problem that does not exist for Chinese competitors.

In a conversation with Larry Fink, CEO of BlackRock and interim chairman of the World Economic Forum, in Davos, Switzerland, Musk said that AI chip production has increased exponentially, but insufficient power has hindered the efficiency of AI data centers in training and deploying AI models.

“I think the limiting factor in AI deployment is fundamentally electricity,” Musk said. “It’s clear that very soon – possibly even later this year – we will be producing more chips than we can handle.”

The United States has been grappling with an outdated power grid system, the result of decades of underinvestment and aging infrastructure. Reliability issues and production constraints have threatened the speed of AI implementation as technology companies increasingly rely on grid operators to provide power, stoking investor concerns about an AI bubble and fueling beliefs that the United States has lost the tech war with China.

Two massive data centers at Nvidia’s Santa Clara, Calif., headquarters could sit idle for years, waiting for electricity to power them, according to energy experts. At the same time, huge increases in demand, coupled with the need for infrastructure updates, have pushed up electricity bills for the average American.

Earlier this month, the Trump administration and 13 bipartisan governors put pressure on the operator of the country’s largest power grid, the PJM Interconnection, to increase power supplies and held an auction for technology companies to submit bids for 15-year power plant construction contracts that would shift the cost of electricity from consumers to data center operators.

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“We know that with the demand for artificial intelligence and the power and productivity that comes with it, it’s going to transform every job, every company and every industry,” Interior Secretary Doug Burgum told reporters last week. “But we need to be able to compete with China.”

Speaking at a conference in Davos on Wednesday, President Donald Trump encouraged tech companies to build their own nuclear power plants powered by artificial intelligence, a plan he claimed the government would approve in just three weeks, even though such plans historically take years to approve.

Musk said in Davos that China was already well ahead of the United States in production capacity, as many AI investors feared, and that the country did not face the same constraints as the United States. China relies heavily on solar power, which is seen as a cheaper alternative to nuclear power, with faster deployment and fewer safety risks.

“China’s electricity growth is huge,” he said.

According to Global Energy Monitor’s Global Solar Tracker, China’s solar operating capacity is nearly four times that of the United States. If potential power is included, China’s solar power generation is expected to be 1,118,442 MWac (i.e. electricity output), compared with 237,947 MWac in the United States.

“Solar energy is by far the greatest source of energy,” Musk said.

Musk claims that powering the United States with solar energy would require very little space and that just a 100 mile by 100 mile square solar farm could power the entire country.

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But U.S. policies have hindered efforts to harness and deploy solar energy. While urging grid operators to take action to add capacity, the Trump administration has opposed the shift to solar, eliminated subsidies for renewable energy and claimed it was “hurting our grid.”

There was no immediate response from the White House wealthRequest for comment.

Tariffs on solar equipment from Asia took effect in May, with import taxes as high as 3,500%, after the U.S. International Trade Commission ruled that imports of solar modules and cells from Southeast Asian producers such as Malaysia, Thailand, Vietnam and Cambodia were detrimental to U.S. manufacturers.

“Unfortunately, in the United States, the tariff barriers for solar are very high,” Musk said. “This makes the economics of deploying solar artificially high.”

This story originally appeared on Fortune.com

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