Which Is More Likely to Be a Millionaire Maker?

  • Bitcoin and Zcash have the same supply policy.

  • These policies have been extraordinary for Bitcoin over the years.

  • Zcash has a key difference that might surprise the parade, or make it extraordinary.

  • 10 stocks we like better than Bitcoin ›

Many people have become very rich by buying Bitcoin (Cryptocurrency: BTC) Before it was widely recognized and accepted as an asset. Now, Zerocoin (Cryptocurrency: ZEC) The cryptocurrency that has been proposed as the next millionaire maker, which makes sense since it shares many of the same features as Bitcoin, and its adoption curve is also much earlier.

But will this be another case of Bitcoin ultimately falling short of the king of cryptocurrencies in terms of its potential to create wealth, or does Zcash really have the power to make people millionaires? Let’s start with the incumbents.

The Bitcoin logo is at the top of an oscillating stock chart that is overlaid on a world map, with some stock price data shown in additional tables below.
Image source: Getty Images.

Today, Bitcoin’s market capitalization is close to $1.7 trillion. Right off the bat, this has some pretty serious implications for its potential as a millionaire maker, even over long holding periods and large initial investments.

Trillion-dollar assets can still rise significantly, and Bitcoin probably will, but it generally can’t move as much as smaller assets. When Bitcoin evangelists say the cryptocurrency can rise 50-fold, they are implicitly describing a world in which Bitcoin will become one of the most valuable financial assets in human history—more valuable than gold, which has been used for thousands of years. There’s no law of nature that says such an outcome won’t happen, but you probably shouldn’t hold your breath for the next few years.

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Bitcoin’s main structural driver is the scarcity of its supply, which is capped at 21 million coins and continues to decline due to regular halvings. The majority of this supply is already available globally, with more than 95% issued. Ten years from now, even if the absolute demand for the token is still roughly the same, the price will likely be higher because mechanically new buyers will be competing against each other for fewer tokens than ever before.

But Bitcoin has gone from obscurity to a mainstream financial asset. That’s great for its chances of long-term survival, but not so good for the millionaire-maker’s dream.

So if you want a crypto asset that will make you richer in 10 years than you are now, Bitcoin is generally a better choice. On the other hand, if your goal is to be able to turn a modest allocation into seven-figure upside, then you need to look where the markets are smaller but also riskier.

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