Is Pinnacle Financial Partners (PNFP) Pricing Reflect Its Banking Sector Repositioning?

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  • If you’re wondering whether Pinnacle Financial Partners’ current share price is really in line with its underlying value, you’re not alone.

  • The stock last closed at $95.09, down 2% over the past week, with returns over the past month and year flat, while 3-year and 5-year returns of 19.7% and 36.6%, respectively, hinting at a mixed ride for long-term holders.

  • Recent news coverage of Pinnacle Financial Partners has focused on its positioning in the U.S. banking industry and investor sentiment toward bank stocks in general. These headlines help explain why the sentiment surrounding the share price has changed at different points in time over the past few years.

  • Pinnacle Financial Partners is currently recording a Valuation Score of 4/6, which means it screens as undervalued across most checks we use. Next, we’ll compare a few common valuation methods and end with a valuation method that can give you a deeper understanding of whether the stock is truly a good fit for your portfolio.

Learn why Pinnacle Financial Partners returned -23.0% last year, lagging its peers.

The excess return model looks at how much profit a company can earn above the return required by shareholders, and then capitalizes these “excess” profits into intrinsic value per share.

For Pinnacle Financial Partners, the starting point is a book value of $88.65 per share and solid earnings per share of $11.59 per share (based on 10 analysts’ weighted estimates of future return on equity). The model uses a cost of equity of $7.32 per share, which implies an excess return of $4.27 per share. In other words, the return attributable to shareholders is greater than the return required to compensate them for the risk.

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According to 13 analysts’ forecasts, the average return on equity is 11.02%, and the stable book value is expected to be $105.24 per share. Combining these inputs, the excess return model yields an estimated intrinsic value of approximately $220.83 per share.

Compared to the recent share price of $95.09, this suggests the stock is significantly undervalued, with an intrinsic discount of approximately 56.9%.

Result: Undervalued

Our excess return analysis shows that Pinnacle Financial Partners is 56.9% undervalued. Track this stock in your watch list or portfolio, or discover 874 undervalued stocks based on cash flow.

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