The matchups for Super Bowl LX have been confirmed, with the Seattle Seahawks taking on the New England Patriots. The game, which will be played on Sunday, February 8 at Levi’s Stadium in Santa Clara, California, is expected to be wagered by US bettors at legal US sportsbooks to the tune of $1.71 billion.
With an extensive prop betting menu and more betting options than a regular game, Yahoo Sports’ NFL Handicap can help you sort through it all to find betting value. Remember, even if it’s the last game of the season, use your money wisely: Nevada sportsbooks have only lost two Super Bowls since 1991.
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Here are our favorite LX Super Bowl bets – be sure to bookmark this page and check back every day as we’ll be updating right up until kickoff.
Odds are given by Bette MGM.
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Matt Jacobs: Just over three field goals per game. That’s the average over the past five opponents against New England’s defense.
Raw numbers: 46 points and 4 touchdowns in 300 minutes of play.
Now let’s take a look back at the five quarterbacks the Patriots suffocated against this dominant defense:
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Brady Cook (Jets rookie, fourth NFL start)
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Quinn Ewers (Dolphins rookie, third NFL start)
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Justin Herbert (Starting Chargers)
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CJ Stroud (Texans starter)
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Jarrett Stidham (Broncos backup, fifth NFL start)
A quick look at Herbert and Stroud: The former has played behind a makeshift offensive line for much of the season, while the latter has treated the football like a hot potato in two playoff games (five interceptions, five fumbles). Oh, and Herbert is now 0-for-3 in the playoffs (all on the road), while Stroud is 1-for-4 on the road in the playoffs.
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So forgive me for my reluctance to compare the 2026 Patriots defense to the 1985 Chicago Bears defense.
No, I’m not throwing a curse word (“fraud”) at the New England station unit. However, I would say that recent numbers need to be viewed in context. After all, five games ago, the Patriots’ defense was split between the Ravens (24 points in Week 15) and the Bills (35 points in Week 16). Starting quarterbacks in these games: Lamar Jackson and Josh Allen.
I get it — there’s a legion of NFL fans (and bettors) still waiting for the “real” Sam Darnold to show up. But here’s the reality: After averaging 28.4 points per game in the regular season, the Seattle SuperSonics scored 72 points in playoff wins over the 49ers and Rams.
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The Seahawks have scored at least 26 points in 13 of 18 games (including 10 of the past 13 games); they have reached the 30-point mark 10 times; they have scored 40 points three times.
Did Darnold do it all by himself? Absolutely not. In fact, the defense and special teams have had a huge impact on Seattle’s scoring output. It was a whole team effort — something I bet we’ll see again in Super Bowl 60, when the Seahawks light up the scoreboard for the last time.
Betting: Seahawks total over 25.5 points (-120)
Jacob: The fact that Drake Maye can move isn’t news. Opposing defenses learned early on that the Patriots’ 6-foot-4, 225-pound quarterback was willing to give up the pocket and, more importantly, was able to pick up chunks of real estate with his legs.
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Do something about it? That’s a different story.
Meyer has run for at least 13 yards five times in the past seven games. The only exceptions: an 11-yard rush against the Jets in Week 17 and an 8-yard rush against Houston in the divisional round.
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In Super Bowl 60, Meyer will face the Seahawks’ aggressive pass rush, which I expect will dominate a Patriots offensive line that has allowed five sacks in each of their three postseason wins.
Translation: Whenever Meyer feels the heat, he gets the green light to take off, and I’m counting on him to convert at least one of his runs into a sizable gain — just like Brock Purdy did in the divisional round (18-yard run) and old guy Matthew Stafford did in the NFC Championship Game (13-yard run).
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Quarterbacks who had big runs against Seattle during the regular season include Kyler Murray (29 yards), Jacoby Brissett (15 yards), C.J. Stroud (15 yards) and Cam Ward (14 yards).
Betting: Drake Maye’s longest rush over 13.5 yards (-115)
Jacob: A big reason the Patriots’ defense has been so successful this season: They haven’t faced many of their top pass-catchers. On this point:
When the Buccaneers hosted New England in Week 10, Mike Evans did not play. Ja’Marr Chase was suspended when the Patriots faced Cincinnati in Week 12 (Joe Flacco is the Bengals’ quarterback). Garrett Wilson was injured in both of the Jets’ games against the Patriots. Malik Nabers was in street clothes when the Giants traveled to New England in Week 13. And when the Dolphins traveled to Foxborough in Week 18, Tyreek Hill was long gone.
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However, when Miami hosted the Patriots in Week 2, Hill was on the field and had 109 yards receiving.
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The only other notable tight ends and receivers suited up against New England this year: Raiders’ Brock Bowers (103 yards); Bills’ Dalton Kinkaid (108 yards in first game, 34 yards in second game); Chris Olave (98 yards); Derek London (118 yards), Emeka Egbuka (115 yards); DK Metcalf (32) yards); and Courtland Sutton (17 yards).
Sutton, of course, has Jarrett Stidham as his quarterback. Therefore, the only elite pass catchers the Patriots have are Kinkaid (ever) and Metcalf.
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This brings me to Seahawks wide receiver (and Metcalf’s former teammate) Jaxon Smith-Njigba.
The third-year pro had an NFL-high 1,793 receiving yards during the regular season. He had 90 or more receiving yards in 12 of Seattle’s first 14 games. He topped 100 yards 10 times (including 153 yards against the Rams in the NFC Championship Game).
this That’s why Smith-Ngiba will be a priority for the Patriots defense on Super Bowl Sunday. Does it matter? No.
Betting: Jaxon Smith-Njigba over 93.5 receiving yards (-130)