forward NVIDIA (NASDAQ: NVDA) Results for the fourth quarter of fiscal 2026 were released last week, and I think the only way the stock will rise after the report is if management provides a good outlook. But I was wrong. Nvidia delivered a great report and a great outlook, but the stock fell after the earnings report.
In previous articles, I did note that with the market’s high expectations, Nvidia would have a hard time meeting its standards of satisfaction in any case. Nearly insurmountable worries about the future are driving negative sentiment among investors, and the company can do little to calm them.
Will artificial intelligence create the world’s first trillionaire? Our team just released a report on a little-known company that has been described as an “essential monopoly” that provides critical technology that both Nvidia and Intel need. continue”
It creates a strange dynamic for investors. Nvidia stock looks cheap, trading at just 17 times one-year forward earnings. For a company as fast-growing as Nvidia, the price looks like a bargain. But the market seems uninterested in pushing the stock higher.
Can Nvidia stock price rebound? Can you double your money by 2030?
By all accounts, Nvidia’s fourth-quarter earnings were excellent. Revenue rose 73% year over year in the period ended Jan. 25, with earnings per share of $1.62, up from $0.89 last year and beating Wall Street’s consensus estimate of $1.54. Management expects revenue to grow 77% year over year in the first quarter of fiscal 2027, maintaining this momentum.
More importantly, it sees a clear path forward. Demand for its products remains strong, and it is launching new, more robust offerings to generate higher engagement and sales.
During the fourth fiscal quarter earnings call, Nvidia Chief Financial Officer Collette Kress said that Nvidia’s data center business is now 13 times larger than when ChatGPT was first launched about three years ago. Although the supply of data center chips is limited, the company believes it has the ability to meet demand through 2027.
Under typical circumstances, a doubling of a business’s revenue should result in a doubling of its stock price, but there’s a lot to be aware of. Nvidia 20’s price-to-sales ratio is actually quite expensive. Holding this ratio constant and assuming it achieves a 50% CAGR in sales over the next four years, Nvidia’s revenue and stock price would exceed four times. That would bring its market capitalization to about $22 trillion. Even if its price-to-sales ratio fell to 10, its market cap would be $10 trillion, more than double today’s market cap.
On a P/E basis, it’s quite cheap, with a P/E ratio of only 36 times. If this ratio remains unchanged and net income grows at a compound annual growth rate of 25% over the next four years (down from the 34% growth rate in the fourth quarter), net income will reach $292 billion in four years, more than double the $120 billion total in 2026.
All of this is just an exercise to see if Nvidia has the potential to double your money by 2030. I can’t guess how likely it is, especially given the recent state of market sentiment – but it certainly seems possible.
Before buying Nvidia stock, consider the following factors:
this Motley Fool Stock Advisor The analytics team has just identified what they believe is 10 Best Stocks Investors can buy now… and Nvidia isn’t one of them. The 10 stocks selected could generate huge returns in the coming years.
consider when Netflix This list was created on December 17, 2004… If you invested $1,000 when we recommended, You will have $534,008!* or when NVIDIA This list was created on April 15, 2005… If you invested $1,000 when we recommended, You will have $1,090,073!*
Now, it’s worth noting stock advisor The overall average return is 949% — outperformed the market compared to the S&P 500’s 192%. Don’t miss the latest top 10 list, available via stock advisorand join an investment community built by individual investors for individual investors.
See 10 stocks »
*Stock Advisor returned on March 8, 2026.
Jennifer Saibil has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool has a position and recommends Nvidia. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy.
Can Nvidia stock price double by 2030? Originally posted by The Motley Fool