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Kansas State Wildcat Basketball: Arizona State Preview

Game information

when: Saturday, January 10, 2026

Where: @Desert Financial Arena – Tempe, AZ

when? : 2 p.m. (Central Standard Time)

2025-26 season

Record: 9-6

Big 12 Records: 0-2

first 3 games

1/7: L – 104 – 76 vs BYU @away

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12/29: L- 89 – 95 vs Colorado@Home

12/22: L – 75 – 78 vs. Oregon State @ Home

Arizona Personnel

beginner

Location

#

player

class

high

weight

smallest

point

Reb

AST

point guard

5

Moe Odum

gentlemen.

6 feet 2 inches

160

33.4

16.1

3.3

6.6

shooting guard

2

Anthony Johnson

gentlemen.

6 feet 3 inches

175

23.6

14.7

3

1.9

small forward

twenty three

Alan Mukhba

gentlemen.

6 feet 8 inches

Chapter 247

16.1

6.6

3.4

0.7

power forward

1

Santiago True

so.

6’11”

218

24.9

7.5

5.4

0.8

center

35

Masamba Diop

Fr.

7 feet 1 inch

27.9

14.2

5.3

1.2

bench

Location

#

player

class

high

weight

smallest

point

Reb

AST

Forward/Center

14

Anja Gerbovich

Small.

6’11”

210

19.8

6.9

3.3

5.5

wing

15

Noah Mixon

so.

6 feet 5 inches

24.1

4.8

2.5

2.2

guard

12

Trevor Best

so.

6 feet 3 inches

6.4

1.2

0.7

0.2

critical analysis

(Per KenPom.com – National Ranking())

KenPom Ranking – 92

offense

Adjusted efficiency: 115.5 (71)

Adjusted tempo: 70.6 (69)

Average time of possession: 16.3 (76)

Effective field goal percentage: 52.3 (136)

Offensive rebounds%: 29.8 (222)

Three-point shooting percentage: 34.1 (163)

Two points%: 53 (131)

defense

Adjusted efficiency: 106.1 (122)

Adjusted tempo: 70.6 (69)

Average time of possession: 17 (147)

Effective field goal percentage: 52.7 (252)

Offensive rebounds%: 24.7 (13)

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Three-point shooting percentage: 34.1 (201)

Two points%: 53.9 (256)

Arizona Advantage

Adjust efficiency

arizona offense:115.5 (71)

K-State Defense: 104.9 (102)

notes

Arizona State’s offense has been pretty efficient this season, and while it’s not great, it hasn’t been a sore spot for a team that’s been riddled with injuries. Kansas State’s defense tells the story of the Wildcats’ season. This team needs to have a good defense and they don’t. Overall, the Don Jerome-coached team improved defensively as the season went on. Tomorrow will be the ideal time to at least improve from bad to average.

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Adjust efficiency

Arizona Defense: 90.9 (4)

K-State offense: 116.9 (64)

notes

From an offensive efficiency perspective, the Wildcats are not bad. This is not surprising as P.J. Haggerty is a pretty efficient player and has the ball in his hands most of the time. PJ will have to be at his best for the K-State game to have a chance to keep this game. Arizona is the kind of team that can turn a seven-point lead into a 14-point lead in the blink of an eye. They keep scoring, and eventually they find a way to stop you from scoring. All they have to do is string a few stops together and the game spirals out of control.

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Turnover %

Arizona Defense: 19.9 (52)

K-State offense: 16.9 (156)

This is not a good ASU team, but they are relatively good at turning opponents around on defense. Anthony Johnson’s 2.8 steal rating ranks 384th in the county and is best among the Sun Devils. For Kansas State, it wasn’t P.J. Haggerty’s loose possession of the ball; The key is that he always has the ball and every defense is ready to stop him. It’s going to take a patient, controlled PJ game as ASU needs help scoring. If Kansas State doesn’t help them, the Sun Devils may not score enough points to win the game at all.

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Kansas Advantage

Adjust efficiency

kansas offense:116.5(67)

Arizona Defense: 122 (122)

notes

PJ Hagerty is a great player. The ball is generally in his hands, so the Wildcats’ offense is relatively efficient. Arizona State, meanwhile, displayed a sense of urgency and togetherness on defense from a group of players who met over the summer. They’ve given up 90+ points in three of their last four games and don’t look like they’re going in the right direction. Hagerty should be able to control this game offensively. If he can hold back his turnovers, K-State’s offensive efficiency could win this game.

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brief thoughts

It’s a battle between two of the most disappointing programs and coaches in the Big 12. Bobby Hurley’s team went 23-13 in 2023. They won a combined 27 games in the 2024 and 2025 seasons and had a shaky start in 2026. Hurley’s seat was hot to start the season, but he did nothing to cool it down. He has assembled a team that resembles the French Foreign Legion more than a Big 12 program. They had players from Senegal, Argentina, Montenegro and Belgium trying to adjust to college basketball while trying to win a Big 12 tournament, but it wasn’t going well.

Jerome Don deployed his own corps of foreign mercenaries, but they served as more of a complement to Hagerty, Castillo, Bashir and Johnson. When they don’t face elite competition, Arizona State is far from elite and can put the ball in the basket at a decent rate.

They’re essentially the same flawed team, built in the same short-sighted way, but Kansas State has P.J. Haggerty.

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predict

Ken Bohm

Arizona: 84

Kansas: 85

Drew

Arizona: 77

Kansas: 82

Like I said, these teams all have the same flaws, but one has an All-American and the other doesn’t. I’m going to lead Kansas State to win this game and keep hope alive in these four winnable games. If they have any sign of making a run at the tournament, or possibly any tournament, they need to go at least 3-1, if not 4-0, in their next four games starting tomorrow afternoon in the desert.

This is a must-win game.

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