PIEDMONT TRIAD, N.C. (WGHP) – A warm front will move north Sunday night, bringing scattered showers and the possibility of some isolated thunderstorms. A few severe storms are not ruled out Sunday night into early Monday morning. The severe threat Sunday night is a marginal risk Category 1, focusing on the strongest storms such as damaging winds (60 mph) and isolated tornadoes.
The risk of severe weather has increased significantly through Monday. The Storm Prediction Center ranks a large portion of the Piedmont Triangle with a severe weather risk of Level 4 out of 5. This risk category means widespread severe storms are possible. In the morning (7 a.m. to 9 a.m.), isolated storms are possible with the potential for tornadoes and large hail (2 inches+).
The biggest concern comes ahead of the arrival of a strong cold front on Monday. A series of severe storms are expected to begin impacting our western counties (Foothills) around 9 a.m. and will move eastward in the late morning and early afternoon. The line is expected to approach the Triad around the morning of October 11, with impacts likely to last until 2 p.m. as the line continues to move east.
As the storm line moves, damaging straight-line wind gusts are the most likely threat. Several severe storms capable of producing wind gusts in excess of 75 mph are expected. The potential for tornadoes on Monday is also much higher than what we typically see in the Triad. The Triad will see a lot of wind shear on Monday, which will increase the risk of spin/spin in the atmosphere, creating “ideal” conditions for tornadoes. The Storm Prediction Center considers Monday’s tornado threat to be severe, with possible EF-2 tornadoes and tornadoes that stay on the ground longer and travel farther.
The storm is moving quickly (like 50-60 mph), which means you won’t have much time to take cover once a warning is issued on Monday. This means it’s important to spend time Sunday night with your family reviewing your severe weather safety plan so you can respond quickly if a warning is issued.
Make sure you have multiple ways to receive weather alerts for Sunday night and Monday, including the FOX8 app, WEA Alerts turned on on your phone, NOAA radio or social media notifications turned on.
The cold front is expected to arrive around 4:05 PM, and once it does our severe weather potential will be diminished, although there will be some lingering showers as the front moves through.
In addition to Monday’s severe weather threat, we will also see strong winds outside of severe thunderstorms. It will be windy throughout the day, with southwesterly winds lasting 15-25 mph, with gusts possibly reaching 45 mph. Temperatures will be in the upper 60s ahead of the cold front and will quickly drop into the 40s and 50s once the front moves through in the late afternoon/evening.
Tuesday morning temperatures will be in the mid-20s, with afternoon highs only reaching the mid-40s, with mostly sunny skies.
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