Trump has suggested his (now dwindling) tariff revenues could pay for at least 9 different things

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President Trump’s tariff revenue fell in November, but the president’s frequent promises about how he will use the money are still growing rapidly.

Since the 2024 campaign, the president has floated at least nine different ideas on how to spend tariff money, according to a tally by Yahoo Finance.

It’s a list of promises that range from sending $2,000 tariff dividend checks to Americans to paying for the tax cuts Republicans enacted this summer.

Trump reminded a crowd at a rally in Pennsylvania this week of his views on tariffs, saying of the word, “I like that word better than any other word in the dictionary.” He said he had demoted it to other words like religion and family only at the behest of “fake news.”

TOPSHOT - U.S. President Donald Trump arrives to deliver an economic speech at Mount Airy Casino Resort in Mount Pocono, Pennsylvania, on December 9, 2025. (Photo by ANDREW CABALLERO-REYNOLDS/AFP Getty Images)
President Donald Trump arrives at the Mount Airy Casino Resort in Mount Pocono, Pa., on Dec. 9 to deliver an economic speech. (ANDREW CABALLERO-REYNOLDS/AFP via Getty Images) · Andrew CABALLERO-REYNOLDS via Getty Images

However, the picture for tariff revenue has grown murkier in recent weeks after the president bowed to Americans’ affordability concerns and rolled back some tariffs on goods that had seen price increases, including coffee, oranges and cocoa.

That caused monthly tariff revenue to fall from $31.35 billion in October to $30.76 billion last month, the first decline since Trump began enforcing tariffs in his historic second term.

Of course, Trump’s pledge also comes with an impending Supreme Court ruling that could not only invalidate most of the new tariffs but could even force him to issue up to $100 billion in refunds.

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Last week, the government announced a $12 billion relief fund for farmers. “This money would not have been possible without tariffs,” the president said.

Cato Institute economist Scott Lincicome was quick to point out four more things Trump promised the tariffs would pay for.

In addition to farm bailouts, dividend checks and tax cuts, Lincicome noted Trump’s pledge to pay down the national debt through tariffs and occasional hints that tariffs could lead to the elimination of income taxes.

One interviewee was quick to point to a sixth example: the Trump campaign’s promise to pay for enhanced child care through tariffs.

Last September, at an event at the Economic Club of New York, he was asked about his ideas for making child care more affordable.

He responded: “The numbers I’m talking about being generated by imposing taxes on foreign countries that they’re not accustomed to are much larger than any numbers we’re talking about, including child care.”

Republican presidential candidate and former President Donald Trump speaks during a campaign event at the Economic Club of New York, Thursday, September 5, 2024. (AP Photo/Pamela Smith)
Donald Trump speaks during a campaign event at the Economic Club of New York on September 5, 2024. (AP Photo/Pamela Smith) · Associated Press

A review of Trump’s campaign promises and other proposals since taking office turned up many more examples, including at the same Economic Club of New York event.

“With all this money absorbed through tariffs and other smart means… we’re going to have the largest sovereign wealth fund,” he said, suggesting another use for the money.

Recently, Trump reportedly floated the idea of ​​setting up a “victory fund” for Ukraine, funded by new tariffs on China’s purchases of Russian oil.

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His administration also used tariff funds to inject $300 million into the Special Supplemental Nutrition Program for Women, Infants, and Children (WIC) to keep it running during the shutdown.

November’s revenue brings total tariff revenue for the calendar year to about $236.16 billion, with a month to go.

But nearly all of Trump’s ideas come with a much larger price tag, meaning he’s unlikely to pay for nearly all of them with tariff revenue alone.

For example, the Committee for a Responsible Federal Budget recently estimated that a round of tariff dividend checks could cost up to $600 billion and take about two years to pay off using tariff revenue alone.

WASHINGTON, DC - NOVEMBER 5: Activists pose for a photo outside the Supreme Court on November 5, 2025 in Washington, DC. The high court is hearing arguments about the legality of the Trump administration's tariffs. (Photo by Andrew Harnick/Getty Images)
Activists posed for photos outside the Supreme Court in November as the high court heard arguments over the legality of the Trump administration’s tariffs. (Andrew Harnick/Getty Images) · Andrew Harnik via Getty Images

“Under almost any design, a $2,000 payment to Americans would increase rather than reduce the federal budget deficit,” the Tax Foundation added in its own analysis. “A better way to reduce the burden of tariffs is to eliminate them.”

Earlier this year, the president also said the tariffs meant he could now balance the budget.

But that seems unlikely, and personal income taxes may not be going away anytime soon.

Compared with the $236 billion in tariffs, those tax collections total more than 10 times that amount so far this calendar year, at more than $2.5 trillion, according to Treasury Department data.

Ben Werschkul is Yahoo Finance’s Washington correspondent.

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