On Thin Ice: Crypto Daybook Americas

By Omkar Godbole (All times Eastern unless otherwise noted)

Cryptocurrency market sentiment remains subdued, with pessimistic forecasts from analysts circulating amid price weakness. Bitcoin’s The rebound from Monday’s dip below $84,000 stalled near $87,000, while major altcoins including XRP, ETH, SOL, and DOGE continued to be under pressure near Monday’s lows.

The CoinDesk 20 and CoinDesk 80 indexes rose less than 1% in the past 24 hours.

“This is a dangerous lull after downward momentum, with the risk that the sell-off could resume at any time,” said Alex Kuptsikevich, chief market analyst at FXPro, noting that the current market capitalization is just under $3 trillion. “All attention is now focused on whether the bulls in the cryptocurrency market can hold on to the late November lows of nearly $2.83 trillion,” he said in an email to CoinDesk.

One bright spot: The ETF sell-off has stopped. According to SoSoValue, 11 spot ETFs listed in the United States saw inflows of $8.48 million on Monday, continuing a three-day streak of inflows. However, four-day total outflows of $229 million are still a far cry from the multi-billion-dollar outflows seen since early October, and would require a significant increase to lift valuations.

At the same time, some observers are calling for a reassessment of fears over the prospect of a rate hike in Japan and its destabilizing impact on cryptocurrencies and broader financial markets.

Jeroen Blokland, founder of Blokland Smart Multi-Asset Fund, said on

In other key news, KAS, the native token of the layer 1 proof-of-work Kaspa blockchain, which uses the blockDAG structure and GHOSTDAG protocol to achieve high throughput, showed weakness.

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The token rose 8% last month, defying broader market weakness as investors embraced Verified Programmability (vProgs), which brings native lightweight programmability directly on top of Kaspa’s Layer 1 without compromising speed, security or decentralization.

In traditional markets, U.S. Treasury yields remain elevated, providing a floor for the U.S. dollar index. Stay alert!

Read more: For analysis of today’s altcoin and derivatives activity, see Today’s Cryptocurrency Market

What to see

For a more comprehensive list of this week’s events, see CoinDesk’s “Crypto Week Ahead.”

  • cryptocurrency
    • December 2: Grayscale Chainlink Trust ETF (GLNK) expected to begin trading on NYSE Arca, converting existing chainlink Trust Spot Chainlink ETF.
    • December 2, 12 noon: MultiversX (EGLD) “Stake V5” mainnet upgrade is activated at epoch 1,951.
    • December 2: The VeChain (VET) Hayabusa hard fork upgrade was activated at block 23,414,400 on the mainnet.
  • Macro
    • December 2, 10 a.m.: Michelle W. Bowman, Fed Vice Chairman for Supervision, speaks. Watch live.
    • December 2, 10 a.m.: U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission Chairman Paul Atkins delivers a speech titled “Reviving the U.S. Market at 250 Points” after the New York Stock Exchange rings the opening bell at 9:15 a.m.
  • income (Estimate based on FactSet data)
    • Dec. 2: Forward Industries (FWDI), post-market, n/a.

Token event

For a more comprehensive list of this week’s events, see CoinDesk’s “Crypto Week Ahead.”

  • Governance votes and calls
    • The Decentraland DAO is voting on a proposal to commission community member Maryana to conduct an independent audit of Regenesis Labs to address concerns about the use of funds and transparency. Voting closes on December 2.
  • Unlock
    • Unlocks $50.4 million worth of tokens, representing 2.8% of supply.
  • Token issuance
    • December 2: Aster’s S4 buyback begins.
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Meeting

For a more comprehensive list of this week’s events, see CoinDesk’s “Crypto Week Ahead.”

market trend

  • BTC is up 0.4% at $86,801.55 as of 4pm ET on Monday (24 hours: +0.27%)
  • ETH rises 0.27% to $2,799.42 (24 hours: -1.27%)
  • CoinDesk 20 rose 0.15% to 2,727.64 (24 hours: -0.47%)
  • The comprehensive pledge rate of Ethereum CESR increased by 7 basis points to 2.87%
  • The BTC financing interest rate on Binance is 0.0069% (annualized 7.5829%)
  • DXY unchanged at 99.49
  • Gold futures fell 1.29% to $4,219.70
  • Silver futures fell 2.89% to $57.44
  • The Nikkei 225 closed unchanged at 49,303.45 points
  • The Hang Seng Index closed up 0.24% to 26,095.05 points
  • The FTSE was unchanged at 9,709.62
  • Europe’s Stoxx 50 rose 0.5% to 5,695.65
  • The Dow closed down 0.9% on Monday at 47,289.33 points
  • The S&P 500 closed down 0.53% at 6,812.63
  • The Nasdaq Composite Index closed down 0.38% at 23,275.92 points
  • The S&P/TSX Composite Index closed down 0.9% at 31,101.78 points
  • The S&P 40 Latin America Index closed down 0.27% at 3,163.56 points
  • The U.S. 10-year Treasury bond rate remains unchanged at 4.09%
  • E-mini S&P 500 futures were unchanged at 6,831.75
  • E-mini Nasdaq 100 futures rose 0.14% to 25,428.00
  • E-mini Dow Jones Industrial Average futures unchanged at 47,366.00

Bitcoin Statistics

  • Bitcoin dominance: 59.55% (+0.24%)
  • Ethereum-Bitcoin ratio: 0.03228 (-0.5%)
  • Hash rate (seven-day moving average): 1,075 EH/s
  • Hash price (spot): $36.95
  • Total fee: 4.1 BTC / $352,115
  • CME Futures Open Interest: 121,220 BTC
  • BTC in gold: 20.7 ounces.
  • Bitcoin and gold market capitalization: 5.81%

technical analysis

BTC/USD long weekly chart on Bitfinex (candlestick format). (Trading View)

  • The number of long positions in the Bitfinex-listed BTC/USD currency pair has risen to 71,809, the highest level since February 2024.
  • This shows that traders are increasingly taking bullish exposure.
  • Historical data shows that sharp increases in the number of bullish bets typically occur during downtrends.
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crypto stocks

  • Coinbase Global (COIN): Monday’s close at $259.84 (-4.76%), +0.83% at $261.99
  • Circle Internet (CRCL): Closed at $75.94 (-4.99%), +1.41% at $77.01
  • Galaxy Digital (GLXY): Closed at $24.8 (-6.73%), unchanged pre-market
  • Bullish (BLSH): Closed at $41.03 (-5.94%), +1.1% at $41.48
  • MARA Holdings (MARA): Closed at $11.52 (-2.46%), +0.78% at $11.61
  • Riot Platforms (RIOT): Closed at $15.48 (-4.03%), +1.1% at $15.65
  • Core Scientific (CORZ): Closed at $16.59 (-1.78%), +0.12% at $16.61
  • CleanSpark (CLSK): Closed at $14.08 (-6.76%), +1.56% at $14.30
  • CoinShares Valkyrie Bitcoin Miner ETF (WGMI): Closed at $47.26 (-2.42%)
  • Exodus Movement (EXOD): Closed at $14.8 (-10.41%)

Cryptocurrency Treasury Corporation

  • Strategy (MSTR): Closed at $171.42 (-3.25%), +0.62% at $172.48
  • Semler Scientific (SMLR): Closed at $19.75 (-9.07%)
  • SharpLink Gaming (SBET): Closed at $9.6 (-9.6%), +1.56% at $9.75
  • Upexi (UPXI): Closed at $2.65 (-5.18%)
  • Lite Strategies (LITS): Closed at $1.71 (-9.52%)

ETF flows

Spot BTC ETF

  • Net daily traffic: $8.5 million
  • Cumulative net flows: $57.7 billion
  • Total BTC holdings are approximately 1.31 million

Spot ETH ETF

  • Net daily traffic: -$79 million
  • Cumulative net flow: $12.88 billion
  • The total holdings of ETH are approximately 6.27 million

Source: Farside Investors

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