Bank of America resets Nvidia price target after earnings

Nvidia (NVDA) reported fourth-quarter earnings after the bell on February 25. Despite the huge profit, the stock is down 5.6% as of this writing (Thursday, February 26), according to Yahoo Finance.

No matter how strong the earnings report is, it seems that Nvidia’s stock price plummets after the earnings report is released. So how come the stock price fell after reporting record quarterly revenue of $68.1 billion, up 20% quarter over quarter and 73% year over year?

Nvidia CEO Jensen Huang explained the phenomenon during an all-hands meeting following the third-quarter earnings report. “If we have a bad quarter, it’s evidence that there’s an AI bubble. If we have a good quarter, we’re fueling the AI ​​bubble,” he said, according to Business Insider.

It is worth noting that Huang does not think artificial intelligence is a bubble.

  • Revenue was $78 billion, plus or minus 2%.

  • GAAP gross profit margin was 74.9%, plus or minus 50 basis points

  • GAAP operating expenses were approximately $7.7 billion
    Source: NVIDIA

The company said its outlook does not assume any data center revenue from China.

“While the U.S. government has approved a small number of H200 products for customers in China, we have not yet generated any revenue, and we do not know if China will allow any imports,” Chief Financial Officer Colette Kress said on the earnings call.

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The statement about no China data center sales and the CFO’s comments seem like possible reasons for disappointment, but only if you have wildly unrealistic expectations.

In “What the White House Decision Means for Nvidia,” I provide an in-depth analysis of why Nvidia will have a hard time getting back on track to generate revenue from Chinese data centers.

Therefore, we conclude that AI bubble concerns are hurting the stock. I explained how the AI ​​bubble works through OpenAI in the article “AMZN, MSFT, NVDA, SFTBY ignite $100 billion.”

Bank of America raised its 2027 non-GAAP earnings per share forecast for Nvidia to $8.11. Shutterstock
Bank of America raised its 2027 non-GAAP earnings per share forecast for Nvidia to $8.11. Shutterstock · Shutterstock

Following the release of the report, Bank of America analyst Vivek Arya and his team updated their view on Nvidia stock.

The team said Nvidia “exceeded expectations” in its first-quarter guidance, with year-over-year revenue growth accelerating to 77%.

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Analysts raised their fiscal 2027/2028/2029 non-GAAP EPS estimates by 5%/10%/13% to $8.11/$10.72/$13.18, respectively, noting that they now include stock-based compensation expenses and embed a higher tax rate.

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